
Elite quarterbacks understand there is a difference between the perfect throw and the best throw.
From a quarterback evaluation standpoint, the perfect pass may be dropping the ball over the outside shoulder, away from the defender, perfectly stretching the receiver’s speed. It looks outstanding on film. The problem is that it can also become an incredibly difficult catch, forcing the receiver to track the ball late while reaching away from his frame.
Sometimes the higher expected-value throw is two feet more inside. That slight adjustment improves the receiver’s vision, allows him to accelerate through the catch, and increases the probability of a completion without meaningfully increasing defensive risk.
One throw earns compliments from fans and coaches alike.
The other keeps the offense on schedule and wins football games.
The best quarterbacks know which one the situation demands.

